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One of the more intriguing fights in the upcoming Vegas showdown on Saturday will be between Allan Nascimento (-230) and Cody Durden (+220). The question is whether the Brazilian will cruise to another victory, and if the American can do something to oppose him.
At (+220), bookmakers have clearly made up their minds on Durden. Yet, we see plenty of room for unexpected upsets. Let’s dive deeper into the preview.
UFC Vegas 110 Durden vs David Nascimento Odds
| Cody Durden | +220 |
| Allan Nascimento | -230 |
UFC Vegas 110 Durden vs Nascimento: Where to Watch, Time, and Place
- Place: UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nevada
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 4:00 pm
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Durden Is the Underdog for a Very Good Reason
There is a reason why Durden is put as the heavy underdog in his upcoming bout versus Nascimento. While a fairly well-rounded fighter who has done well across submitting, KO’ing, and outlasting fighters, Durden has one loss too many under his belt, and this is what makes him a liability.
While he took out Matt Schnell in 2024, Durden has lost to both Joshua Van and Jose Ochoa in his last two bouts. Both fighters were fairly evenly matched in his of skill, with Nascimento now providing a major challenge.
At odds of (+220), though, is it worth betting on Durden? We believe so. If you are looking for an outside chance of turning a small wager into a bigger win, this is it. Durden has a good record with KO’s and TKO’s, and while his defense is lacking, he has proven to be more resilient than appearances suggest.
One really big issue, however, is Durden’s ability to resist submission bids, and this comes at a time when his opponent, Nascimento, is widely known for his ability to win by submission. Just to get a rough idea, 71% of his fights are won by submission.
So, Saturday’s bout really comes down to one thing – can Durden resist the submission onslaught? If he somehow manages, there is a good chance he can bring the fight home with a KO/TKO victory.
Pick: Durden to Win (+220)
